ECB minutes confirm there’s wide support for loose policy
• ECB minutes from the Jan. meeting confirmed much of what Draghi told us at the press conf.
• Very little appetite among officials for tapering anytime soon. Also, focus will be on the core CPI.
• Confirms our view the ECB may remain on hold for a while. At least until core CPI accelerates and the political events are out of the way.
• Little reaction in EUR. Despite the latest rebound, as we approach the elections, political risk could weigh more on the currency.
• Favourite proxy for any forthcoming EUR weakness: EUR/JPY (yen may enjoy safe-haven flows).

Today’s highlights:
• Sweden: CPI for Jan. is exp. to have slowed. May prove SEK-negative.
• Eurozone: Current account balance for Dec. Usually not a major market mover.
• UK: Retail sales data for Jan. Both the headline and the core rates are exp. to have rebounded following a sharp decline in Dec. GBP-positive.

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