IronFX Daily Commentary by Charalambos Pissouros | 09/02/2017
February 9, 2017 9:36 amVideo
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RBNZ retains easing bias, smacks down the Kiwi
• RBNZ remained on hold as exp. Surprisingly, the Bank retained its easing bias (despite the material improvement in domestic data).
• “Uncertainties persist, particularly in the international outlook, and policy may need to adjust”.
• Also reiterated that a decline in NZD is needed. Possibly due to the easing bias, NZD collapsed.
• Despite these dovish signals, we don’t expect them to actually ease policy in the future.
• As such, although NZD may correct lower in the next days, the currency’s broader outlook remains cautiously positive in our view.
Today’s highlights:
• Germany: Trade balance for Dec. though this is usually not a major market mover.
• Norway: GDP growth for Q4 is exp. to have risen, a rebound from prev. NOK-positive.
• US: Initial jobless claims for the week ended 3rd of Feb.
• Speakers: BoE Governor Mark Carney, RBA Governor Philip Lowe, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Chicago Fed President Charles Evans.
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