USD surges after a salvo of FOMC and Trump remarks
• USD rally was sparked by comments from NY Fed Pres. Dudley, saying the case for a rate hike has become “a lot more compelling”.
• Probability for a March hike surged as a result, though we still think that an unlikely scenario.
• Trump’s comments helped USD as well. He said he wants USD 1 trillion worth of investment on infrastructure.
• Outlook for USD is positive right now. However, a lot will depend on upcoming econ. data, and Yellen’s comments on Friday.

BoC to take the sidelines amid improving data
• BoC widely exp. to stand pat. Policy statements have been neutral lately, but press conferences have been dovish.
• This meeting has no press conf., so focus will be on the phrasing of the meeting statement.
• Data have improved lately, so the language may remain neutral, which could support CAD.
• But they could reiterate their concerns about a strong CAD. If so, it could offset some of the potential gains in the currency.

As for the rest of today’s highlights:
• UK: Manuf. PMI for Feb. is exp. to have ticked down. GBP-negative.
• US: Core PCE price index for Jan. Also, personal income & spending for Jan., and ISM manuf. PMI for Feb. Focus will be on the PCE, where a potential uptick in the rate could support USD.

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