Market Comment – Fed hawks spook markets ahead of NFP

Hawks dominate latest round of Fed speak; stocks slip, dollar rebounds But rate cut odds little changed as US jobs report awaited Yen firms after Ueda opens door to more rate hikes Oil extends gains on geopolitical tensions, but gold pulls back Fed officials cast doubt about rate cuts Fresh uncertainty about the timing and […]

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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY trades lower ahead of key market events

GBPJPY is in the red again today, not far from its recent high It has dropped below the January 2, 2024 ascending trendline Momentum indicators are in waiting mode for the next key market events GBPJPY is trading lower again today as the market is preparing for today’s US labour market report, which could play […]

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Technical Analysis – USDCAD ticks higher within ascending channel

USDCAD bounces off 200-day SMA MACD and RSI are still weak USDCAD is moving slightly higher following the rebound off the simple moving averages (SMAs), remaining within a short-term ascending channel. Technically, the MACD oscillator is holding beneath its trigger line and near the zero level, weakening its momentum, while the RSI is pointing marginally […]

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Forex forecast 04/05/2024: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, SP500 and Bitcoin from Sebastian Seliga

We introduce you to the daily updated section of Forex analytics where you will find reviews from forex experts, up-to-date monitoring of financial information as well as online forecasts of exchange rates of the US dollar, euro, ruble, bitcoin, and other currencies for today, tomorrow and this trading week. Video Agenda: 00:00 INTRO 00:13 Totay’s […]

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Why does the 10-year US yield remain so high? – Special Report

The 10-year US yield is a key determinant of FX moves It tends to drop when the Fed prepares to cut its interest rates Despite market expectations about the Fed, the 10-year US yield remains high A stock market correction could be a catalyst for a sizeable drop in US yields The 10-year US yield […]

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EUR/USD and GBP/USD: trading tips for beginners on April 5

Details of economic calendar on April 4 On Thursday, data on the EU producer price index was published. The annual rate of decline in factory inflation escalated from -8.0% to -8.3% in March, but this happened only due to an upward revision of previous data, from -8.6%. At the same time, the revision of previous […]

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Weekly Technical Outlook: 02/04/2024 – USDJPY, EURUSD, USDCAD

Our weekly #TechnicalAnalysis looks at the key events that are expected to shake the #markets the most. This week, the focus is on #NFP report, Eurozone flash #CPI and Canadian #employment report and will be looking at how #USDJPY, #EURUSD and #USDCAD may react. 0:00 Intro 0:19 USDJPY 1:59 EURSD 3:34 USDCAD For more information […]

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Weekly Technical Outlook: 02/04/2024 – USDJPY, EURUSD, USDCAD

Our weekly #TechnicalAnalysis looks at the key events that are expected to shake the #markets the most. This week, the focus is on #NFP report, Eurozone flash #CPI and Canadian #employment report and will be looking at how #USDJPY, #EURUSD and #USDCAD may react. 0:00 Intro 0:19 USDJPY 1:59 EURSD 3:34 USDCAD For more information […]

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Weekly Technical Outlook: 26/03/2024 – USDJPY, EURUSD, Gold

· USD/JPY consolidates gains after touching important resistance · EUR/USD faces some recovery, but threats remain · Will gold surpass last week’s all-time high? 0:00 Intro 1:00 USDJPY 3:44 EURUSD 6:22 Gold For more information on the topics discussed in this video, including detailed charts and tables, read the full Weekly Technical Outlook article: https://www.xm.com/research/analysis/technicalAnalysis/xm/weekly-technical-outlook-usdjpy-eurusd-gold-194856 […]

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Weekly Forex Outlook: 22/03/2024 – Markets quiet down after central bank frenzy

Dollar recovers after Fed selloff, turns to PCE inflation. Yen falls despite rate increase, testing three-decade lows. Quarter-end flows could disturb the waters in a quiet week. 0:00 Intro 0:16 Forex Market 1:48 PCE Inflation 2:15 US Dollar Outlook 3:17 Yen and BoJ 4:06 USDJPY For more information on the topics discussed in this video, […]

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Weekly Technical Outlook: 19/03/2024 – EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF

Our weekly #TechnicalAnalysis looks at the key events that are expected to shake the #markets the most. This week, the focus is on central bank meetings of #Fed, #BoE and #SNB and will be looking at how #EURUSD, #GBPUSD and #USDCHF may react. 0:00 Intro 0:12 EURUSD 01:22 GBPUSD 02:57 USDCHF For more information on […]

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Weekly Technical Outlook: 11/03/2024 – USDJPY, GBPUSD, Nvidia

USD/JPY eyes 200-day SMA after dramatic downfall; US CPI next on the calendar GBP/USD resumes bullish outlook as UK jobs data loom Nvidia stock sinks the most in a while. Where next for the AI king? 0:00 Intro 0:55 USDJPY 2:59 GBPUSD 5:13 Nvidia For more information on the topics discussed in this video, including […]

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Weekly Forex Outlook: 08/03/2024 – US CPI to headline dull week, may spoil the calm

US inflation and retail sales data to take the spotlight as dollar slips. UK jobs and GDP numbers coming up too amid recession woes. Will markets hold their nerve before the looming central bank storm? 0:00 Intro 0:15 US CPI 2:27 Retail Sales 3:16 UK GDP 3:55 Jobs Data 4:39 Pound For more information on […]

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Weekly Technical Outlook: 04/03/2024 – USDJPY, EURUSD, USDCAD

USD/JPY holds above 20-day SMA as investors wait for fresh rate signals EUR/USD inside a constraining zone as ECB rate decision looms USD/CAD stabilizes near December’s barrier ahead of BoC policy meeting 0:00 Intro 0:47 USDJPY 3:33 EURUSD 6:02 USD/CAD For more information on the topics discussed in this video, including detailed charts and tables, […]

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Weekly Forex Outlook: 01/03/2024 – ECB decision and US payrolls to steal the show

Nonfarm payrolls and Powell’s testimony will be crucial for US dollar. European Central Bank could set the stage for summer rate cuts. 0:00 Intro 0:20 US economy and dollar 2:08 Powell’s testimony and US jobs report 3:18 Eurozone economy 4:28 ECB meeting and euro For more information on the topics discussed in this video, including […]

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Weekly Technical Outlook: 26/02/2024 – USDJPY, EURUSD, NZDUSD

Our weekly #TechnicalAnalysis looks at the key events that are expected to shake the #markets the most. This week, the focus is on #US core #PCE price index, #Eurozone #CPI and #RBNZ policy decision and will be looking at how #USDJPY, #EURUSD and #NZDUSD may react. 0:00 Intro 0:14 USDJPY 1:44 EURUSD 3:07 NZDUSD For […]

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Weekly Technical Outlook: 19/02/2024 – USDJPY, EURUSD, GBPUSD

Will USDJPY find its next bullish catalyst this week to resume its uptrend? EURUSD stays victim to the dollar; needs significant gains to violate downtrend GBPUSD supported, but not bullish yet; focus on 1.2700 region 0:00 Intro 0:44 USDJPY 3:37 EURUSD 5:45 GBPUSD For more information on the topics discussed in this video, including detailed […]

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Weekly Forex Outlook: 16/02/2024 – Fed minutes headline a data-heavy week

Dollar shines after inflation surprise, awaits latest Fed minutes. In Europe, business surveys will be crucial for euro and sterling. 0:00 Intro 0:16 US dollar and Fed minutes 2:51 UK PMIs and pound 4:38 Eurozone economy and PMIs For more information on the topics discussed in this video, including detailed charts and tables, read the […]

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Weekly Technical Outlook: 12/02/2024 – EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY

Our weekly #TechnicalAnalysis looks at the key events that are expected to shake the #markets the most. This week, the focus is on US #CPI, UK #CPI and #GDP data, and Japanese #GDP and will be looking at how #EURUSD, #GBPUSD and #USDJPY may react. 0:00 Intro 0:15 EURUSD 1:41 GBPUSD 3:17 USDJPY For more […]

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Weekly Technical Outlook: 05/02/2024 – USDJPY, AUDUSD, USDCAD

USD/JPY halts post-NFP gains near familiar resistance; ISM services PMI awaited AUD/USD misses a bullish breakout. Will the RBA come to the rescue? USD/CAD stuck within the 1.3400 territory ahead of Canadian jobs report 0:00 Intro 0:36 USD/JPY 2:47 AUD/USD 5:03 USD/CAD For more information on the topics discussed in this video, including detailed charts […]

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Weekly Forex Outlook: 02/02/2024 – RBA decision and US data on the menu

Dollar cannot sustain Fed-fueled advance, will ISM data help? Reserve Bank of Australia could abandon its tightening bias. 0:00 Intro 0:17 Fed decision and US dollar 2:38 ISM non-mfg data 3:08 RBA and aussie For more information on the topics discussed in this video, including detailed charts and tables, read the full Week Ahead article: https://www.xm.com/research/analysis/previews/xm/week-ahead-rba-decision-and-us-data-on-the-menu-192611 […]

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Analysis and trading tips for USD/JPY on November 8

Analysis of transactions and tips for trading USD/JPY Further growth became limited because the test of 150.53 coincided with the sharp rise of the MACD line from zero. Shortly after, another test took place, but sales could not be done because of the lack of overbought conditions for the pair. No other market signal appeared […]

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Trading plan for EUR/USD for November 08, 2023

Technical outlook: EUR/USD is pulling back after hitting the 1.0755-60 potential resistance defined earlier. The single currency pair found initial support around the 1.0680 mark as projected and we can expect an intraday bounce towards 1.0725 at least before bears are back in control. Also, note that 1.0680 is the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement of the […]

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EUR/USD and GBP/USD: Technical analysis for November 8

EUR/USD Higher Timeframes Bears continued the decline yesterday and tested the area of influence of the lower boundary of the daily cloud, but they couldn’t hold onto the achieved levels. Today, the situation remains within the limits, with the boundaries being 1.0733 – 1.0766 (weekly levels) and 1.0638 – 1.0614 (daily levels + weekly short-term […]

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