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23/11/2010 - Discover the Dynamics of Using Moving Averages


The "moving average" is a technical indicator which has stood the test of time. Nearly 25 years ago, Robert Prechter described this indicator in his famous essay, "What a Trader Really Needs to be Successful." What he said then remains true today:

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Publishing Date

Discover the Dynamics of Using Moving Averages
How to Spot High-Probability Trading Opportunities
November 23, 2010

By Elliott Wave International

About The Publisher

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Discover the Dynamics of Using Moving Averages. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

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"...a simple 10-day moving average of the daily advance-decline net, probably the first indicator a stock market technician learns, can be used as a trading tool, if objectively defined rules are created for its use."

Indeed, "objectively defined rules" are vital to the successful use of moving averages. And as you might imagine, advanced rules and guidelines work to the benefit of more advanced technicians.

What is a moving average? As EWI's Jeffrey Kennedy puts it, "A moving average is simply the average value of data over a specified time period, and it is used to figure out whether the price of a stock or commodity is trending up or down."

Jeffrey also says, "One way to think of a moving average is that it's an automated trend line."

A 15-year veteran of technical analysis,  Jeffrey wrote "How You Can Find High-Probability Trading Opportunities Using Moving Averages."
[Descriptions of the following charts are summaries from that eBook]:

Let's begin with the most commonly-used moving averages among market technicians: the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages. These two trend lines often serve as areas of resistance or support. 

For example, the chart below shows the circled areas where the 200-period SMA provided resistance in an April-to-May upward move in the DJIA (top circle on the heavy black line), and the 50-period SMA provided support (lower circle on the blue line).

Popular Moving Averages: 50 & 200 SMA

Let's look at another widely used simple moving average which works equally well in commodities, currencies, and stocks: the 13-period SMA. 

In the sugar chart below, prices crossed the line (marked by the short, red vertical line), and that cross led to a substantial rally. This chart also shows a whipsaw in the market, which is circled.

Jeffrey's 33-page eBook also reveals a useful tool to help you avoid "whipsaws."

You can read the first two chapters for FREE for a limited time, once you become a Club EWI member.

The first two chapters reveal:

  • The Dual Moving Average Cross-Over System 
  • Moving Average Price Channel System 
  • Combining the Crossover and Price Channel Techniques 

Jeffrey's insights are all about making you a better trader. Remember, the first two eBook chapters are FREE through November 30. So take advantage of this limited time offer by clicking here!

Charts Updated

Some charts were no longer displaying correctly, this issue is now fixed [ more ]

Charts Updated

Merry Christmas

Trade financial markets with fixed odds betting, and get a £20 Free Bet to try! (Click on Banner to go to BetonMarkets.com) [ more ]

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When EWI President Robert Prechter sat down to write the first edition of "Conquer The Crash" in 2002, the idea that the United States would ent [ more ]

11/02/2010 - Bob Prechter's "Conquer The Crash": Eight Chapters For Free

11/02/2010 - Robert Prechter on Herding and Markets' "Ir

The following is an excerpt from a classic issue of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist. For a limited time, you can [ more ]

11/02/2010 - Robert Prechter on Herding and Markets' "Irony and Paradox"

10/02/2010 - U.S. Stocks: Will The Bears Relinquish Cont

In case you were hiding out Tiger Woods' style far away from the mainstream media during the past month, let me be the first to say: January saw an abrupt end to t [ more ]

10/02/2010 - U.S. Stocks: Will The Bears Relinquish Control?

05/02/2010 - EUR/USD: What Moves You?

Today, the EUR/USD stands well below its November peak of $1.51. Find out what Elliott wave patterns are suggesting for the trend ahead now -- FREE. [ more ]

05/02/2010 - EUR/USD: What Moves You?

27/01/2010 - Bernanke's Burn Notice -- Why Now?

Like a spy who gets a burn notice, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has suddenly lost his support. Bernanke has gone from being Time magazine's Ma [ more ]

27/01/2010 - Bernanke's Burn Notice -- Why Now?

New Year: New Economic Boom? Why 2010 Should Be One to R

Elliott Wave International's latest free report puts 2010 into perspective like no other. The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read in 2010 [ more ]

New Year: New Economic Boom? Why 2010 Should Be One to Remember

11/01/2010 - Why You Should Care About DJIA Priced in Go

The following article is provided courtesy of Elliott Wave International (EWI). For more insights that challenge conventional financial wisdom, download [ more ]

11/01/2010 - Why You Should Care About DJIA Priced in Gold

If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks, Wait Ti

A well-known business magazine recently published a story with this headline: Stocks: The "Loss" Decade [ more ]

If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks, Wait Till You See This

The FDIC Anesthesia Is Wearing Off

The following article is an excerpt from Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist. For more information from Robert Prechter on bank safety, download [ more ]

The FDIC Anesthesia Is Wearing Off

13/11/2009 - If Stocks Tank, Shouldn't Gold Soar?

The following article is provided courtesy of Elliott Wave International (EWI). For more insights that challenge conventional financial wisdom, download EWI& [ more ]

13/11/2009 - If Stocks Tank, Shouldn't Gold Soar?

02/09/2009 - How IRAs Can Tie Investors Hands and What T

Editor's Note: The following article discusses Robert Prechter's view of investment vehicles and government-regulated plans. For more analysis from Robert [ more ]

02/09/2009 - How IRAs Can Tie Investors Hands and What To Do About It

04/09/2009 - Prechter Stands Alone Again... He's Done th

So Bob Prechter is bearish again. That may be no surprise to some, but recall that Prechter was about the only bull on February 23 of this year when he [ more ]

04/09/2009 - Prechter Stands Alone Again... He's Done the Math

29/10/2009 - Black Monday: Ancient History Or Imminent F

The following article includes analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75- [ more ]

29/10/2009 - Black Monday: Ancient History Or Imminent Future?

22/10/2009 - Earnings: Is That REALLY What's Driving The

It's corporate earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about the influence of earnings on the broad stock market:  [ more ]

22/10/2009 - Earnings: Is That REALLY What's Driving The DJIA Higher?

Gold: What's REALLY Behind the Record Rise, Bull or Bubb

When prices in a financial market go from Sea Level to Outer Space in a relatively brief time, two scenarios are at work -- and they both start with the lett [ more ]

Gold: What's REALLY Behind the Record Rise, Bull or Bubble?

14/10/09 - How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Prese

Bob Prechter first released Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression during a stock-market high in 2002, and it q [ more ]

14/10/09 - How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Preserve Your Wealth

09/10/2009 - Death of the Dollar, Again: Before You Mour

The following article is based on analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the [ more ]

09/10/2009 - Death of the Dollar, Again: Before You Mourn, See This Chart

Q&A With Robert Prechter: Why Technical Analysis Beats O

As the major stock markets turned down in late 2007 and then started to rally in March 2009, many people who believed in fundamental analysis have begun [ more ]

Q&A With Robert Prechter: Why Technical Analysis Beats Out Fundamental Analysis

08/09/2009 - How A Bear Can Be Bullish And Still Be Righ

In recent months, Elliott Wave International President [ more ]

08/09/2009 - How A Bear Can Be Bullish And Still Be Right

15/09/2009 - Prechters Tips on Trading Successfully

Take it from the person who won the United States Trading Championship with profits of more than 440% in 1984 – there are five things that every successful tra [ more ]

15/09/2009 - Prechters Tips on Trading Successfully

17/09/2009 - Germany's DAX: FREE Insight Into Europe's L

It's one of the first rules in the book of mainstream economic wisdom: a country's economy is the thermometer which "reads" its stock market's temperature. If fi [ more ]

17/09/2009 - Germany's DAX: FREE Insight Into Europe's Leading Economy

24/09/2009 - How a Kid With a Ruler Can Make a Million

The following article is adapted from a brand-new 50-page ebook from Elliott Wave International. [ more ]

24/09/2009 - How a Kid With a Ruler Can Make a Million

3 Questions The Government Doesn’t Want You To Ask Abo

Bob Prechter, President of Elliott Wave International (EWI), is no stranger to challenging the status quo. His New York Times bestseller, Conquer the Crash, [ more ]

3 Questions The Government Doesn’t Want You To Ask About the Financial Crisis

Gold, the Dow, T-Notes: Which Does Best During Recession

Each year, the NCAA college basketball tournament winnows its starting field of 64 teams to the Final Four teams who play for a chance to become the national champio [ more ]

Gold, the Dow, T-Notes: Which Does Best During Recessions?

How To Recognize a Financial Mania When You're Smack Dab

When you're caught in the middle of a bad storm, you don't really care whether it's a tropical depression or a full-strength hurricane. You just know you're hanging [ more ]

How To Recognize a Financial Mania When You're Smack Dab in the Middle of One

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Charts Updated

Some charts were no longer displaying correctly, this issue is now fixed [ more ]

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Merry Christmas

Trade financial markets with fixed odds betting, and get a £20 Free Bet to try! (Click on Banner to go to BetonMarkets.com) [ more ]

Merry Christmas

08/09/2011 - Bull Market In Gold Over With Double Top?

A few weeks ago I penned a public article and private forecast for my subscribers calling for a major correction in Gold being due. 72 hours after my forecast, Gold [ more ]

08/09/2011 - Bull Market In Gold Over With Double Top?

Beta 2 Forex News, Jovi Overo, Beta 2 Ltd, Thursday Sept

By Jovi Overo 08 Sep 2011 An attitude of dovishness has gained traction among central banks in Europe this week and investors are worried that a continuation of low ra [ more ]

Beta 2 Forex News, Jovi Overo, Beta 2 Ltd, Thursday September 8 2011

01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could The

If "legendary Wall Street figure" ever described anyone, it was turn-of-the-last-century financier J.P. Morgan. You can throw in "bigger than life&quo [ more ]

01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could They Help Us Today?

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years o

During the past few years, The Federal Reserve has engaged in a "deliberate inflating policy." This policy [ more ]

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years of Research into America's Central Bank

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 &

Now that Mr. Bernanke’s speech is old news, what was the financial media thinking exactly? A significant number of financial writers have been anticipating discuss [ more ]

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 & Gold

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment

With the economy so sour right now, investors seem to be selling out of the market and looking for other areas which have a safe haven status right now. Gold has been a [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment Left

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite

The past few weeks traders and investors have been completely spooked from the surge of negative news and collapsing stock prices. This fear can be seen by looking at t [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite Directions Get Ready!

22/08/2011 - Successful Investing Starts With Research

Since 2008, the world has faced serious problems. The credit crisis, debt crisis and the U.S. economy right now are all playing havoc with the livelihoods if of America [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Successful Investing Starts With Research
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08/09/2011 - Bull Market In Gold Over With Double Top?

A few weeks ago I penned a public article and private forecast for my subscribers calling for a major correction in Gold being due. 72 hours after my forecast, Gold [ more ]

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Beta 2 Forex News, Jovi Overo, Beta 2 Ltd, Thursday Sept

By Jovi Overo 08 Sep 2011 An attitude of dovishness has gained traction among central banks in Europe this week and investors are worried that a continuation of low ra [ more ]

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01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could The

If "legendary Wall Street figure" ever described anyone, it was turn-of-the-last-century financier J.P. Morgan. You can throw in "bigger than life&quo [ more ]

01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could They Help Us Today?

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years o

During the past few years, The Federal Reserve has engaged in a "deliberate inflating policy." This policy [ more ]

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years of Research into America's Central Bank

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 &

Now that Mr. Bernanke’s speech is old news, what was the financial media thinking exactly? A significant number of financial writers have been anticipating discuss [ more ]

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 & Gold

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment

With the economy so sour right now, investors seem to be selling out of the market and looking for other areas which have a safe haven status right now. Gold has been a [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment Left

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite

The past few weeks traders and investors have been completely spooked from the surge of negative news and collapsing stock prices. This fear can be seen by looking at t [ more ]

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