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04/01/11 - Keep Ahead of the Herd in 2011


Have you ever noticed that much of the time, the forecasts for what’s going to happen next are quite often just more of what happened last? There’s no real insight, just “expect more of the same.”

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Publishing Date

Keep Ahead of the Herd in 2011
Learn to Survive and Thrive with Knowledge of Socionomics and the Elliott Wave Principle
December 31, 2010

By Elliott Wave International

About The Publisher

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Keep Ahead of the Herd in 2011. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

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That’s not how we view the world here at Elliott Wave International, where instead we study patterns of positive and negative mood to predict changes in the stock market, current events and other trends.

Pop culture trends are more than just "interesting" -- analysis of social mood trends is part and parcel of Elliott Wave International's technical approach, helping us anticipate changes that most people never see coming.

Prechter's groundbreaking paper, "Pop Culture and the Stock Market," first published in 1985, lays out the foundation for his contrarian analysis:

1) Popular art, fashion and mores are a reflection of the dominant public mood.
           
2) Because the stock market changes direction in step with these expressions of mood, it is probably another coincident register of the dominant public mood and changes in it
.
3) Because a substantial change in mood in a positive or negative direction foreshadows the character of what are generally considered to be historically important events, mood changes must be considered as possibly, if not probably, being the basic cause of ensuing events.

Both a study of the stock market and a study of trends in popular attitudes support the conclusion that the movement of aggregate stock prices is a direct recording of mood and mood change within the investment community, and by extension, within the society at large.

It is clear that extremes in popular cultural trends coincide with extremes in stock prices, since they peak and trough coincidentally in their reflection of the popular mood.

The stock market is the best place to study mood change because it is the only field of mass behavior where specific, detailed, and voluminous numerical data exists. It was only with such data that R.N. Elliott was able to discover the Wave Principle, which reveals that mass mood changes are natural, rhythmic and precise.

The stock market is literally a drawing of how the scales of mass mood are tipping. A decline indicates an increasing 'negative' mood on balance, and an advance indicates an increasing 'positive' mood on balance.

The positive and negative events and trends of any given year paint a picture of society's mood as a whole. Haven’t we seen enough conventional forecasting fail miserably (remember the 2007-2009 debacle?)  to consider an alternative method?  

This new year, resolve to look at the world in a different light, and learn to anticipate changes that will keep you ahead of the herd with an understanding of socionomics and the Elliott Wave Principle. 

As we enter 2011, we are happy to offer Prechter's "Popular Culture and the Stock Market" essay for FREE with your Club EWI sign-up. There is no obligation.

When you join Club EWI to access the "Pop Culture" essay, you can also access dozens of other free resources to help you understand how the Elliott Wave Principle and socionomic insight can help your investment strategies.

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18/02/2010 - Bob Prechter Points Out The Many Signs Of Deflation

11/02/2010 - Bob Prechter's "Conquer The Crash": Eight C

When EWI President Robert Prechter sat down to write the first edition of "Conquer The Crash" in 2002, the idea that the United States would ent [ more ]

11/02/2010 - Bob Prechter's "Conquer The Crash": Eight Chapters For Free

11/02/2010 - Robert Prechter on Herding and Markets' "Ir

The following is an excerpt from a classic issue of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist. For a limited time, you can [ more ]

11/02/2010 - Robert Prechter on Herding and Markets' "Irony and Paradox"

10/02/2010 - U.S. Stocks: Will The Bears Relinquish Cont

In case you were hiding out Tiger Woods' style far away from the mainstream media during the past month, let me be the first to say: January saw an abrupt end to t [ more ]

10/02/2010 - U.S. Stocks: Will The Bears Relinquish Control?

05/02/2010 - EUR/USD: What Moves You?

Today, the EUR/USD stands well below its November peak of $1.51. Find out what Elliott wave patterns are suggesting for the trend ahead now -- FREE. [ more ]

05/02/2010 - EUR/USD: What Moves You?

27/01/2010 - Bernanke's Burn Notice -- Why Now?

Like a spy who gets a burn notice, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has suddenly lost his support. Bernanke has gone from being Time magazine's Ma [ more ]

27/01/2010 - Bernanke's Burn Notice -- Why Now?

New Year: New Economic Boom? Why 2010 Should Be One to R

Elliott Wave International's latest free report puts 2010 into perspective like no other. The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read in 2010 [ more ]

New Year: New Economic Boom? Why 2010 Should Be One to Remember

11/01/2010 - Why You Should Care About DJIA Priced in Go

The following article is provided courtesy of Elliott Wave International (EWI). For more insights that challenge conventional financial wisdom, download [ more ]

11/01/2010 - Why You Should Care About DJIA Priced in Gold

If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks, Wait Ti

A well-known business magazine recently published a story with this headline: Stocks: The "Loss" Decade [ more ]

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The FDIC Anesthesia Is Wearing Off

The following article is an excerpt from Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist. For more information from Robert Prechter on bank safety, download [ more ]

The FDIC Anesthesia Is Wearing Off

13/11/2009 - If Stocks Tank, Shouldn't Gold Soar?

The following article is provided courtesy of Elliott Wave International (EWI). For more insights that challenge conventional financial wisdom, download EWI& [ more ]

13/11/2009 - If Stocks Tank, Shouldn't Gold Soar?

02/09/2009 - How IRAs Can Tie Investors Hands and What T

Editor's Note: The following article discusses Robert Prechter's view of investment vehicles and government-regulated plans. For more analysis from Robert [ more ]

02/09/2009 - How IRAs Can Tie Investors Hands and What To Do About It

04/09/2009 - Prechter Stands Alone Again... He's Done th

So Bob Prechter is bearish again. That may be no surprise to some, but recall that Prechter was about the only bull on February 23 of this year when he [ more ]

04/09/2009 - Prechter Stands Alone Again... He's Done the Math

29/10/2009 - Black Monday: Ancient History Or Imminent F

The following article includes analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the 75- [ more ]

29/10/2009 - Black Monday: Ancient History Or Imminent Future?

22/10/2009 - Earnings: Is That REALLY What's Driving The

It's corporate earnings season again, and everywhere you turn, analysts talk about the influence of earnings on the broad stock market:  [ more ]

22/10/2009 - Earnings: Is That REALLY What's Driving The DJIA Higher?

Gold: What's REALLY Behind the Record Rise, Bull or Bubb

When prices in a financial market go from Sea Level to Outer Space in a relatively brief time, two scenarios are at work -- and they both start with the lett [ more ]

Gold: What's REALLY Behind the Record Rise, Bull or Bubble?

14/10/09 - How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Prese

Bob Prechter first released Conquer the Crash: You Can Survive and Prosper in a Deflationary Depression during a stock-market high in 2002, and it q [ more ]

14/10/09 - How to Prepare for the Coming Crash and Preserve Your Wealth

09/10/2009 - Death of the Dollar, Again: Before You Mour

The following article is based on analysis from Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. For more insights from Robert Prechter, download the [ more ]

09/10/2009 - Death of the Dollar, Again: Before You Mourn, See This Chart

Q&A With Robert Prechter: Why Technical Analysis Beats O

As the major stock markets turned down in late 2007 and then started to rally in March 2009, many people who believed in fundamental analysis have begun [ more ]

Q&A With Robert Prechter: Why Technical Analysis Beats Out Fundamental Analysis

08/09/2009 - How A Bear Can Be Bullish And Still Be Righ

In recent months, Elliott Wave International President [ more ]

08/09/2009 - How A Bear Can Be Bullish And Still Be Right

15/09/2009 - Prechters Tips on Trading Successfully

Take it from the person who won the United States Trading Championship with profits of more than 440% in 1984 – there are five things that every successful tra [ more ]

15/09/2009 - Prechters Tips on Trading Successfully

17/09/2009 - Germany's DAX: FREE Insight Into Europe's L

It's one of the first rules in the book of mainstream economic wisdom: a country's economy is the thermometer which "reads" its stock market's temperature. If fi [ more ]

17/09/2009 - Germany's DAX: FREE Insight Into Europe's Leading Economy

24/09/2009 - How a Kid With a Ruler Can Make a Million

The following article is adapted from a brand-new 50-page ebook from Elliott Wave International. [ more ]

24/09/2009 - How a Kid With a Ruler Can Make a Million

3 Questions The Government Doesn’t Want You To Ask Abo

Bob Prechter, President of Elliott Wave International (EWI), is no stranger to challenging the status quo. His New York Times bestseller, Conquer the Crash, [ more ]

3 Questions The Government Doesn’t Want You To Ask About the Financial Crisis

Gold, the Dow, T-Notes: Which Does Best During Recession

Each year, the NCAA college basketball tournament winnows its starting field of 64 teams to the Final Four teams who play for a chance to become the national champio [ more ]

Gold, the Dow, T-Notes: Which Does Best During Recessions?

How To Recognize a Financial Mania When You're Smack Dab

When you're caught in the middle of a bad storm, you don't really care whether it's a tropical depression or a full-strength hurricane. You just know you're hanging [ more ]

How To Recognize a Financial Mania When You're Smack Dab in the Middle of One

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Charts Updated

Some charts were no longer displaying correctly, this issue is now fixed [ more ]

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Merry Christmas

Trade financial markets with fixed odds betting, and get a £20 Free Bet to try! (Click on Banner to go to BetonMarkets.com) [ more ]

Merry Christmas

08/09/2011 - Bull Market In Gold Over With Double Top?

A few weeks ago I penned a public article and private forecast for my subscribers calling for a major correction in Gold being due. 72 hours after my forecast, Gold [ more ]

08/09/2011 - Bull Market In Gold Over With Double Top?

Beta 2 Forex News, Jovi Overo, Beta 2 Ltd, Thursday Sept

By Jovi Overo 08 Sep 2011 An attitude of dovishness has gained traction among central banks in Europe this week and investors are worried that a continuation of low ra [ more ]

Beta 2 Forex News, Jovi Overo, Beta 2 Ltd, Thursday September 8 2011

01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could The

If "legendary Wall Street figure" ever described anyone, it was turn-of-the-last-century financier J.P. Morgan. You can throw in "bigger than life&quo [ more ]

01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could They Help Us Today?

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years o

During the past few years, The Federal Reserve has engaged in a "deliberate inflating policy." This policy [ more ]

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years of Research into America's Central Bank

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 &

Now that Mr. Bernanke’s speech is old news, what was the financial media thinking exactly? A significant number of financial writers have been anticipating discuss [ more ]

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 & Gold

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment

With the economy so sour right now, investors seem to be selling out of the market and looking for other areas which have a safe haven status right now. Gold has been a [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment Left

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite

The past few weeks traders and investors have been completely spooked from the surge of negative news and collapsing stock prices. This fear can be seen by looking at t [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite Directions Get Ready!

22/08/2011 - Successful Investing Starts With Research

Since 2008, the world has faced serious problems. The credit crisis, debt crisis and the U.S. economy right now are all playing havoc with the livelihoods if of America [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Successful Investing Starts With Research
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08/09/2011 - Bull Market In Gold Over With Double Top?

A few weeks ago I penned a public article and private forecast for my subscribers calling for a major correction in Gold being due. 72 hours after my forecast, Gold [ more ]

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Beta 2 Forex News, Jovi Overo, Beta 2 Ltd, Thursday Sept

By Jovi Overo 08 Sep 2011 An attitude of dovishness has gained traction among central banks in Europe this week and investors are worried that a continuation of low ra [ more ]

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01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could The

If "legendary Wall Street figure" ever described anyone, it was turn-of-the-last-century financier J.P. Morgan. You can throw in "bigger than life&quo [ more ]

01/09/2011 - Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could They Help Us Today?

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years o

During the past few years, The Federal Reserve has engaged in a "deliberate inflating policy." This policy [ more ]

27/08/2011 - Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years of Research into America's Central Bank

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 &

Now that Mr. Bernanke’s speech is old news, what was the financial media thinking exactly? A significant number of financial writers have been anticipating discuss [ more ]

29/08/2011 - What Could Lie Ahead for the S&P 500 & Gold

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment

With the economy so sour right now, investors seem to be selling out of the market and looking for other areas which have a safe haven status right now. Gold has been a [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold - Is It the Only Safe Haven Investment Left

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite

The past few weeks traders and investors have been completely spooked from the surge of negative news and collapsing stock prices. This fear can be seen by looking at t [ more ]

22/08/2011 - Gold & Stocks Are About To Move in Opposite Directions Get Ready!

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